This page puts the state's money outlook in one place: the reserve, the TABOR refund, the State Education Fund, behavioral health and the dates ahead. Each number links to the record it comes from.
Two offices forecast the state's revenue. Legislative Council Staff (LCS) works for the General Assembly. The Office of State Planning and Budgeting (OSPB) works for the Governor. We show the two side by side and do not pick one. A forecast is an estimate, so each one names the month it was published.
The reserve is General Fund money the state keeps unspent at the end of each year. The law sets its size as a share of General Fund appropriations. An appropriation is money the legislature authorized to be spent, for one purpose and one year. The reserve is 13%FACT of them for FY 2026-27, and 15%FACT from FY 2027-28 on.
A second rule says what the Governor must do when the reserve falls short (C.R.S. 24-75-201.5). Its words are not quoted yetPENDING, because we have not found a public copy we can quote. The rate for FY 2025-26 is not quoted yetPENDING for the same reason.
Legislative Council Staff (LCS)
General Fund reserveLCS, September 2026 forecast (published 2026-09-18)Every figure here: FACT
For FY 2027-28, LCS tests the reserve two ways. If appropriations stay at the FY 2026-27 level (its Scenario A), the reserve ends $685.8M above the 15% requirement. If the state funds what current law calls for (its Scenario B), it ends −$1,579.7M below it. A minus sign means below.
The Office of State Planning and Budgeting (OSPB) asks that its website not be read by automated tools. So OSPB's forecasts reach this site only through the Colorado State Publications Library, which keeps a copy of each one (series gov318). On 12 October 2026, the library had no copy of OSPB's June or September 2026 forecast. This stays blank until it does.
Each forecast says how it moved from the one before. LCS compares its September 2026 forecast with its June 2026 forecast, line by line. A plus means more than in June, and a minus means less. The last line nets the others: it is how far the money left over moved against the reserve the law requires.
LCS, June to September 2026
Changes from the June 2026 forecast, LCS Scenario ALCS, September 2026 forecast (published 2026-09-18)Every figure here: FACT
The Office of State Planning and Budgeting (OSPB) asks that its website not be read by automated tools. So OSPB's forecasts reach this site only through the Colorado State Publications Library, which keeps a copy of each one (series gov318). On 12 October 2026, the library had no copy of OSPB's June or September 2026 forecast. This stays blank until it does.
↻A TABOR over-refund that shows up twice. LCS's FY 2025-26 accounting adjustment is −$269.9M. LCS says it holds −$275.1M of earlier TABOR over-refunds, plus $5.2M for HB26-1358. The same amount, −$275.1M, shows up again in LCS's TABOR table for FY 2026-27, on the line for earlier over-refunds paid to taxpayers. Each figure here is FACT, from the LCS, September 2026 forecast (published 2026-09-18).
TABOR is the part of the state constitution that limits how much revenue the state may keep each year. The limit in use is called the Referendum C cap. Revenue above the cap goes back to taxpayers as a refund.
FY 2025-26: the certified result
The State Controller certifies each year's result. The certified figure for FY 2025-26 is Waiting for the recordPENDING. So is the Controller's count of refunds paid to date above the surpluses they returned: Waiting for the recordPENDING. LCS reads FY 2025-26 revenue as −$175.9M against the cap, a preliminary figure. A minus sign means below the cap. It is FACT from the LCS, September 2026 forecast (published 2026-09-18).
LCS reportsFACT that on 15 September 2026 the State Auditor said the evidence was not enough to finish an audit of the Controller's certification. The Auditor's own words are Waiting for the recordPENDING.
FY 2026-27 to FY 2028-29: the surplus, by office
LCS
TABOR revenue above the cap, and refundsLCS, September 2026 forecast (published 2026-09-18)Every figure here: FACT
The Office of State Planning and Budgeting (OSPB) asks that its website not be read by automated tools. So OSPB's forecasts reach this site only through the Colorado State Publications Library, which keeps a copy of each one (series gov318). On 12 October 2026, the library had no copy of OSPB's June or September 2026 forecast. This stays blank until it does.
Refunds by type
Not in a table yetPENDING Legislative Council Staff shows refunds by type only in a chart (September 2026, Figure 4). Its parts carry no labels on every bar, and they do not add to the totals it prints. We do not read a number off a chart by its position. This stays blank until a publisher prints the figures in a table.
The law appliesFACT only if the State Controller certified in September 2026 that FY 2025-26 revenue did not exceed the limit.
The Controller must set the FY 2024-25 over-refund amount before 16 November 2026FACT.
That amount may lower refunds from FY 2026-27 on, by no more than one-halfFACT of it in any one year.
The amount the Controller sets is Due before 16 November 2026PENDING. LCS's forecast takes out −$87.9M in FY 2026-27 and −$87.9M in FY 2027-28 for it. That is LCS's estimate, not the Controller's amount. Both are FACT from the LCS, September 2026 forecast (published 2026-09-18).
The State Education Fund helps pay for K-12 schools. LCS projects how much will be left in it at the end of each year. The answer depends on how fast the state's General Fund share of school funding grows, so LCS shows four cases. Each card names the growth it assumes.
Balance at the end of each year, by LCS case. LCS, September 2026 forecast (published 2026-09-18)Every figure here: FACT
Scenario 1
Constant General Fund increase, $150 million a year
The Office of State Planning and Budgeting (OSPB) asks that its website not be read by automated tools. So OSPB's forecasts reach this site only through the Colorado State Publications Library, which keeps a copy of each one (series gov318). On 12 October 2026, the library had no copy of OSPB's June or September 2026 forecast. This stays blank until it does.
The $200 million test in March 2027
A 2025 law, HB25-1320, sets a test on LCS's March 2027 forecast. If that forecast projects the fund below $200MFACT on 30 June 2027, the school funding formula changes from FY 2027-28. The law's own wordsFACT say what changes. The September 2026 forecast above is not that test.
The Long Bill (HB26-1410) is the state's main budget act. It funds behavioral health in three places, in two departments. No office prints one total for all three. So we add the three totals the act prints and label the sum CALC.
Behavioral health in the FY 2026-27 Long Bill, as enacted
Department and division
Amount
Health Care Policy and Financing(3) Behavioral Health Community Programs
How the total is worked out: Health Care Policy and Financing (3) $1,814,527,095 + Human Services (5) $306,543,350 + Human Services (6) $357,174,200 = $2,478,244,645.
Appropriated is not spent. This counts only these three divisions of the Long Bill. It leaves out behavioral health money in other departments and in the session's other bills.
The next Governor takes office in January 2027, in the middle of the budget year. These are the steps between now and then, in order. A date we cannot yet confirm from a public record is marked PENDING.
1 November 2026FACTDepartments send their budget requests to the Joint Budget Committee.
Before 16 November 2026FACTThe State Controller must set the FY 2024-25 over-refund amount before 16 November 2026.
January 2027FACTThe Joint Budget Committee takes up requests to change this year's budget, called supplementals.
Date not confirmedPENDINGThe day early in January 2027 that supplemental requests and budget amendments are due.
Date not confirmedPENDINGThe day late in January 2027 that the new Governor's budget changes are due.
March 2027FACTLCS's March 2027 forecast is the test. If it puts the State Education Fund below $200 million on 30 June 2027, the school funding formula changes from FY 2027-28.
Where each number comes from
Every number above links here. Each record names the document, the page, the table and the line, and the figure as the publisher printed it. Forecast figures also name the forecast they come from.
The reserve rate from FY 2027-28 on: 15% of each year's General Fund appropriations, less what the law takes out.
On this page
15%
As printed
FIFTEEN
The words
(XXVIII) FOR THE FISCAL YEAR 2027-28, AND EACH OF THE FISCAL YEARS THEREAFTER, FIFTEEN PERCENT OF THE AMOUNT APPROPRIATED FOR EXPENDITURE FROM THE GENERAL FUND FOR THAT FISCAL YEAR MINUS
The rule for what the Governor must do when revenue falls short of the reserve (C.R.S. 24-75-201.5).
Why it is blank. The state puts its statutes online only through a legal research service, not as a document we can cite. The rule stays blank until we can quote it from a public copy.
How far FY 2025-26 revenue fell below the Referendum C cap, as the State Controller certified it.
Why it is blank. The State Controller's TABOR page lists no certification after FY 2023. The State Auditor's latest TABOR report covers FY 2025. LCS prints a figure, which points to the record but is not the record.
On this page
Blank
Waiting for
the State Controller's FY 2025-26 TABOR certification, as OSC publishes it or as the State Auditor's FY 2026 Schedule of TABOR Revenue prints it
LCS reports that on 15 September 2026 the State Auditor said the evidence was not enough to finish an audit of the FY 2025-26 certification.
On this page
A statement
The words
On September 15, the State Auditor notified the Governor and legislative leadership that evidentiary documentation was insufficient to complete an audit of the State Controller’s FY 2025-26 TABOR revenue certification. … the incomplete audit suggests that year-end accounting changes could be more significant than usual … On September 15, 2026, the State Auditor provided summary results of her audit of the TABOR certification. The summary explains that certain values in the report could not be verified due to insufficient documentary evidence from the Controller.
HB26-1419 applies only if the State Controller certified in September 2026 that FY 2025-26 revenue was not above the limit.
On this page
A statement
The words
(4.5) IF IN SEPTEMBER 2026 THE CONTROLLER CERTIFIES PURSUANT TO SECTION 24-77-106.5 (1) THAT STATE FISCAL YEAR 2025-26 STATE REVENUES DID NOT … EXCEED THE LIMITATION ON STATE FISCAL YEAR SPENDING IMPOSED BY SECTION 20 (7)(a) OF ARTICLE X OF THE STATE CONSTITUTION FOR STATE FISCAL YEAR 2025-26:
The amount may lower refunds from FY 2026-27 on, by no more than half of it in any one year.
On this page
one-half
As printed
ONE-HALF
The words
SHALL ONLY BE USED FOR FISCAL YEARS COMMENCING ON OR AFTER JULY 1, 2026, AND SHALL NOT EXCEED ONE-HALF OF THE AMOUNT CALCULATED IN ACCORDANCE WITH SUBSECTION (4.5)(a) OF THIS SECTION FOR ANY FISCAL YEAR
The FY 2024-25 over-refund amount the State Controller sets under HB26-1419.
Why it is blank. The law gives the Controller until 16 November 2026. It stays blank until the Controller publishes it. A forecast's guess at it is not the amount.
On this page
Blank
Waiting for
the State Controller's determination under C.R.S. 24-77-103.7 (4.5)(a), as the Controller publishes it
LCS's March 2027 forecast is the test. If it puts the State Education Fund below $200 million on 30 June 2027, the school funding formula changes from FY 2027-28.
On this page
A statement
The words
IF THE STATE EDUCATION FUND BALANCE IS PROJECTED TO BE LESS THAN TWO HUNDRED MILLION DOLLARS AS OF JUNE 30, 2027, BASED ON INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THE MARCH 2027 REVENUE FORECAST PREPARED BY THE LEGISLATIVE COUNCIL STAFF, THEN FOR THE 2027-28 BUDGET YEAR AND EACH BUDGET YEAR THEREAFTER, THE GENERAL ASSEMBLY SHALL IMPLEMENT A SMOOTHING FACTOR OR THE FUNDED PUPIL COUNT … (B) THE AVERAGE OF THE DISTRICT'S PUPIL ENROLLMENT FOR THE APPLICABLE BUDGET YEAR AND THE DISTRICT'S PUPIL ENROLLMENT FOR THE IMMEDIATELY PRECEDING BUDGET YEAR
LCS's March 2027 forecast is the test. If it puts the State Education Fund below $200 million on 30 June 2027, the school funding formula changes from FY 2027-28.
On this page
$200M
As printed
TWO HUNDRED MILLION
The words
IF THE STATE EDUCATION FUND BALANCE IS PROJECTED TO BE LESS THAN TWO HUNDRED MILLION DOLLARS AS OF JUNE 30, 2027, BASED ON INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THE MARCH 2027 REVENUE FORECAST PREPARED BY THE LEGISLATIVE COUNCIL STAFF, THEN FOR THE 2027-28 BUDGET YEAR AND EACH BUDGET YEAR THEREAFTER, THE GENERAL ASSEMBLY SHALL IMPLEMENT A SMOOTHING FACTOR OR THE FUNDED PUPIL COUNT … (B) THE AVERAGE OF THE DISTRICT'S PUPIL ENROLLMENT FOR THE APPLICABLE BUDGET YEAR AND THE DISTRICT'S PUPIL ENROLLMENT FOR THE IMMEDIATELY PRECEDING BUDGET YEAR
The Joint Budget Committee takes up requests to change this year's budget, called supplementals.
On this page
A statement
The words
In January, the Committee considers department requests for adjustments to appropriations for the current fiscal year; these requests are called "supplementals".
Behavioral health, three divisions added, FY 2026-27 CALC
The three division totals the Long Bill prints, added. No publisher prints this sum.
How it is worked out. Each of the three is a total the Long Bill prints. We add them. The sum leaves out behavioral health money in other departments and other bills. Appropriated is not spent.
On this page
$2.48B
Exact
$2,478,244,645
Formula
Health Care Policy and Financing (3) $1,814,527,095 + Human Services (5) $306,543,350 + Human Services (6) $357,174,200 = $2,478,244,645
Method
calc.program_family_v1
Method note
The sum of 3 divisions of HB26-1410, the 2026-27 Long Bill, as enacted, across 2 departments. No publisher prints this total; each member is the division total the act prints (FACT), and the family is their sum (CALC, calc.program_family_v1). Each member's fund split is the sum of the fund cells the act prints on its lines, because the act prints a division's total in one column only. Reappropriated funds are money the act appropriates once in one place and again here. The family counts each member as the act prints it. HCPF's member prints no reappropriated funds, so nothing in the family is HCPF's member counted a second time. This view does not test where each Human Services reappropriated amount comes from. Long Bill basis only: the act alone, without the session's other bills. Appropriated is not spent. It does not include behavioral-health money appropriated in other divisions, in other departments (for example Corrections or Public Safety), or in other bills of the session. It is the three printed divisions and nothing else.
Behavioral health, General Fund part, FY 2026-27 CALC
The General Fund part of the three divisions, added.
How it is worked out. The Long Bill prints a division's total in one column only. So each division's General Fund is the sum of the General Fund cells on its lines. We then add the three. Appropriated is not spent.
On this page
$878.1M
Exact
$878,114,065
Formula
Health Care Policy and Financing (3) $409,229,630 + Human Services (5) $147,146,188 + Human Services (6) $321,738,247 = $878,114,065
TABOR refunds by type: property tax exemptions, the sales tax refund and the income tax rate cut, for each year.
Why it is blank. Legislative Council Staff shows refunds by type only in a chart (September 2026, Figure 4). Its parts carry no labels on every bar, and they do not add to the totals it prints. We do not read a number off a chart by its position. This stays blank until a publisher prints the figures in a table.
On this page
Blank
Last found blank
OSPB's forecast of the General Fund reserve PENDING
OSPB's forecast of the General Fund reserve.
Why it is blank. The Office of State Planning and Budgeting (OSPB) asks that its website not be read by automated tools. So OSPB's forecasts reach this site only through the Colorado State Publications Library, which keeps a copy of each one (series gov318). On 12 October 2026, the library had no copy of OSPB's June or September 2026 forecast. This stays blank until it does.
On this page
Blank
Last found blank
OSPB's own account of what changed since its last forecast PENDING
OSPB's own account of what changed since its last forecast.
Why it is blank. The Office of State Planning and Budgeting (OSPB) asks that its website not be read by automated tools. So OSPB's forecasts reach this site only through the Colorado State Publications Library, which keeps a copy of each one (series gov318). On 12 October 2026, the library had no copy of OSPB's June or September 2026 forecast. This stays blank until it does.
On this page
Blank
Last found blank
OSPB's forecast of TABOR revenue above the cap and refunds PENDING
OSPB's forecast of TABOR revenue above the cap and refunds.
Why it is blank. The Office of State Planning and Budgeting (OSPB) asks that its website not be read by automated tools. So OSPB's forecasts reach this site only through the Colorado State Publications Library, which keeps a copy of each one (series gov318). On 12 October 2026, the library had no copy of OSPB's June or September 2026 forecast. This stays blank until it does.
On this page
Blank
Last found blank
OSPB's assumption for the State Education Fund PENDING
OSPB's assumption for the State Education Fund.
Why it is blank. The Office of State Planning and Budgeting (OSPB) asks that its website not be read by automated tools. So OSPB's forecasts reach this site only through the Colorado State Publications Library, which keeps a copy of each one (series gov318). On 12 October 2026, the library had no copy of OSPB's June or September 2026 forecast. This stays blank until it does.